Success = Some Talent + Luck
Great Success = Same Talent + Lots of Luck
adapted from Daniel Kahneman's The Secret of Regression to Mediocrity
"I have no data yet. It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."
-Sherlock Holmes in A Scandal in Bohemia by Sir Arthur Conan Doyle (1859-1930)